Iraqis vote in first provincial elections in a decade

Former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki gestures as he arrives to vote during Iraq's provincial council elections
Former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki gestures as he arrives at a Baghdad polling station to vote in Iraq's provincial council elections, 18 December 2023 (image: REUTERS/Ahmed Saad)

Iraqis voted on Monday in the first provincial council elections in a decade, which are expected to strengthen powerful Shia pro-Iran groups.

The vote comes at a time of widespread disillusionment among the country's 43 million inhabitants, with endemic corruption eating away at the oil-rich nation.

Ballots are being cast in 15 Iraqi provinces but not in three which are Kurdish and operate under a separate autonomous system. The election is seen as a key test for the government of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani.

He rose to power just over a year ago on the back of a parliamentary coalition of pro-Tehran parties and has focused on developing public services and infrastructure ravaged by decades of conflict.

"Turnout to me is the ultimate gauge of satisfaction," said Renad Mansour, a senior research fellow at Chatham House. It will show, he said, "whether the Sudani government's economic populism – the policy of giving out (public sector) jobs – can be successful and can capture the young population".

Iraqi state television broadcast the opening of polling stations in Baghdad, Kirkuk and Basra at 7:00 am on Monday. A total of 7,166 polling stations were set to open under tight security and are scheduled to close at 6:00 pm.

Some 17 million people are eligible to vote, with 6,000 candidates vying for just 285 seats in the powerful provincial councils. They were established after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein and wield important powers, including selecting regional governors and allocating health, transport and education budgets.

Critics say that the councils are nests of corruption and enable clientelism. 

The vote is expected to consolidate the position of the ruling Coordination Framework coalition, an Iran-aligned bloc that brings together Shia Islamist parties with factions of Hashed al-Shaabi, a network of former paramilitary units integrated into the regular army. 

For some heavyweights within the alliance, the elections are an "opportunity" to "prove they have a social base and that they are popular" following disappointing results in the 2021 national elections, said Mansour.

He added that there was "huge competition right now" among Shia groups for the regional governor roles.

Influential Shia cleric and political kingmaker Muqtada al-Sadr has joined the opposition and is boycotting the vote.

The provincial councils were initially abolished in late 2019 as a concession to massive anti-government protests. But Sudani's government subsequently re-established them, with Monday's elections the first since 2013. 

"What use are these elections to us?" said Abu Ali, a 45-year-old taxi driver, who declined to give his full name. "The years pass, elections come around again, the candidates change, and our situation stays the same," he said in Baghdad ahead of the vote.

The candidates "don't build anything, they just seek the interest of their own parties," he added.

To reflect Iraq's multi-confessional and multi-ethnic population, 10 seats are reserved for minorities, namely Christians, Yazidis and Sabians. In addition, a 25 percent quota has ensured that 1,600 of the candidates are female. 

Observers are keeping a close eye on Kirkuk, an oil-rich northern province where the historic rivalries between the major parties of the Arab, Kurdish and Turkmen communities could resurface.

Despite drone attacks against U.S. and Western coalition troops by pro-Iranian armed groups, regional tensions and the fallout of the Israel-Hamas war are not expected to weigh on the results.    (AFP)